Commodities

Firstly an update to my previous post where I cited GBP:NZD as the favoured swing trade from my watch list. Yet again it performed as expected but yet again I didn't enter the trade due to my focus being elsewhere. However, it may not be over for that pair and I do continue to watch it in case it develops into a larger and more sustained move down but clearly the safest entry point for such a move has now passed. If you took the trade yourself than a trailing stop would probably be a sensible precaution maybe 200 to 250 points above the current print of 1.9745

One new swing trade was taken this Week in the form of a EUR:AUD Swing short. In view of the risk attached due to there being very little technical confirmation that I'd be able to pull the trade off, I decided to close it and go flat into the Weekend with a view to re-opening it next Week when further confirmation is in place. The trade delivered 120 pips profit in less than 18 hours so the result was quite satisfying. If and when this trade is re-entered I'll post details in the comments section under the relevant supporting post.

The first trading decision I made this Week has constantly haunted me since. After 2 Weeks sitting in the NZD:CHF swing long with no results to speak of I decided enough was enough and set the stop loss to break-even. That decision was made around 5 hours before it made a bee-line for my stop loss and then followed it off with a huge rally, the rally I'd given up waiting for. So frustrating!

Just a quick post to make you aware of this set-up if you've not yet seen it. As simple as the set-up looks, its worth watching because such trades can deliver significant Risk Versus Reward ratios based around the ability to quickly spot if the trade isn't going to work out. Any signs of resistance at the re-test of this falling channel should find sellers. If the trade is entered and price continues straight upwards then its best to cut losses quickly and forget about it. Some of my most profitable trades have come from set-ups like this so even if only 1/3 of them play out, they are still worth taking note of.

As the heading suggests, I've taken a few new trades this Week, but have struggled or am struggling with all of them. It's one of those Weeks where I'm left wondering if Markets are just completely random and only a look at previous trading results remind me that TA must play a major part! I came into the Week with one open trade, an AUD:CAD short, but on Monday my Day Trading system gave a long signal on the 5 minute time frame, so I decided to

I have no idea which way this will eventually break, but just wanted to share this triangle formation on the Gold 4 Hourly chart which seems to have been going on forever! No definitive clues here as to which direction this will break, but worth watching as it develops:

Hope your Week is going better than mine! Though my Swing Trades are all looking good and even the DOW swing short is still showing good profits despite this Week's 500 point rise, the 2 day trades I entered today left a lot to be desired! So I've had a scan through my watchlist and the following charts define those I consider most likely