November 2014

Having day traded the short term range in GBP:USD throughout much of last Week, this morning I entered a long, initially planned as a day trade but after further thought decided to give it some breathing space, albeit with one eye regularly checking up on it. The main trend is clearly down and has been for some Months but a time has come where practically every time frame is showing almost extreme levels of positive MACD divergence. This in itself is no guarantee of a reversal, but should lead to a correction of some kind, and even a weak correction is still adequate to take 100 pips or more.

After some Months without seeing a single swing trade opportunity I felt comfortable with, I've finally taken the plunge with a GBP:NZD swing long. Although its a choppy pair to say the least, the overall trend has been up for almost 18 Months now even though a glance at the chart doesn't immediately suggest that. Volatility aside, MACD and the moving averages do suggest a probable continuation of the ongoing move, which ideally will lead to a more sustained move higher.